基于引力模型的中国与加拿大林木产品贸易研究

Research on Trade of Forest Products between China and Canada Based on Gravity Model

利用UN COMTRADE整理的数据及世界银行相关数据,结合中国与加拿大木质林产品贸易的具体现状,利用引力模型对中国与加拿大进行木质林产品贸易的影响因素进行了实证性研究。结果表明:两国的人口规模对双方贸易额有负向显著性影响,两国的经济规模对双方贸易流量有正向显著性影响,两国的人均森林面积、汇率和金融危机对双方贸易额并没有显著性影响。

Based on the data compiled by UNCOMTRADE and the relevant data of the World Bank, this paper used the gravity model to make an empirical study on the influencing factors of wood forest products trade between China and Canada combined with the specific situation of wood of wood forest products trade between China and Canada. The results showed that the population size of the two countries had a negative and significant impact on the trade volume, the economic scale had a positive and significant impact on the trade volume, and the per capita forest area, exchange rate and financial crisis of the two countries had no significant impact on the trade volume.