摘要
基于联合国政府间气候变化专门委员会IPCC报告SRES情景下中排放A1B场景及低排放B1情景的预测结果,针对中国5个建筑热工设计分区的代表城市,以历史30年气象观测数据挑选出的典型气象年为基准,采用"Morphing"方法生成未来2种排放场景下代表城市的建筑能耗模拟用逐时气象数据,并对直至21世纪末每隔10年作为一个时间节点,进行代表城市办公建筑的全年能耗模拟,预估气候变化下建筑能耗的变化趋势。结果表明,总体上5个代表城市办公建筑的采暖能耗呈降低趋势、制冷能耗呈增加趋势,但在不同的排放情景下,不同气候区代表城市的建筑能耗变化有明显区别。
This paper predicts the tendency of building energy consumption against climate changes under medium emission(SERS-A1 B)and low emission(SERS-B1)scenarios in IPCC Special Report.Five cities representing climate regions for building thermal design are selected,benchmarked against Typical Meteorological Year(TMY)generated from observation data covering 30 years.The"Morphing"method is adopted to obtain hourly meteorological data for building energy consumption simulation under the two scenarios,and annual energy consumption for office buildings in the five representative cities are simulated every 10 years in the next 100 years.The findings are:the overall heating energy consumption is decreasing,comparing against the increase of cooling consumption,but building energy consumption in cities of different climate regions reveals distinct tendencies under different scenarios.
作者
李红莲
王赏玉
侯立强
许馨尹
杨柳
Li Honglian;Wang Shangyu;Hou Liqiang;Xu Xinyi;Yang Liu(College of Information and Control Engineering,Xi’an University of Architecture and Technology,Xi'an 710055,China;State Key Laboratory of Green Building in Western China,Xi’an University of Architecture and Technology,Xi'an 710055,China;Information Network Center,Xi’an University of Architecture and Technology,Xi'an 710055,China;College of Architecture,Xi’an University of Architecture and Technology,Xi'an 710055,China)
出处
《太阳能学报》
EI
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2020年第9期147-154,共8页
Acta Energiae Solaris Sinica
基金
国家重点研发计划(2018YFC0704504)
博士后科学基金面上资助(2017M613288XB)
国家自然科学基金国际(地区)合作与交流项目(51561135004)。
关键词
气候变化
能耗
建筑
热工设计分区
能耗模拟
climate change
energy consumption
buildings
climate region for building thermal design
energy consumption simulation
