摘要
此研究以统计学为基础,根据多方案人口发展预测,创建了评价老龄程度的静止人口标准化法,确立了界定轻度、适度、重度老龄化社会的标准,首次测算出寿命延长、生育超低对老龄化的贡献率,报告了两个重要研究发现,全面总结了国际社会应对老龄化的经验和教训,建议国家实施新人口政策并充分肯定计划生育成绩。
The study,based on statistics and based on multi-programme population development projections,created a static population standardization method for evaluating the degree of ageing,established criteria for defining mild,moderate and severe ageing societies,measured for the first time the contribution of increased longevity and extremely low fertility to ageing,reported two important findings,comprehensively summarized the experience and lessons learned from the international community’s response to ageing,and recommended that countries implement the new population policy and fully recognized the achievements of family planning.
作者
籍斌
史正
邵秀娟
柳春美
凌红
JI Bin;SHI Zheng;SHAO Xiu-juan;LIU Chun-mei;LING Hong
出处
《科学决策》
CSSCI
2020年第9期1-20,共20页
Scientific Decision Making
关键词
标准化老龄系数
静止人口标准化法
轻度适度重度老龄化社会
贡献率
新人口政策
standardized ageing coefficient
stationary population standardization method
mildly moderate to severe ageing society
contribution rate
new population policy