特朗普政府自由贸易协定战略及其影响

Trump Administration’s Free Trade Agreement Strategy and Its Impact

特朗普执政以来持续打造以美国为轴心的双边和小区域自贸区网络,力求使之成为凌驾于世贸组织、覆盖面广泛的双层次自贸区,构建以"美国优先"为绝对原则、权利和义务更加"对等"的全球贸易新秩序,彻底区别于世贸组织发展中成员得以享受较轻义务水平的制度设计,再平衡国际经济体系利益分配格局。受特朗普自贸协定战略的影响,世贸组织很难继续维持其全球贸易秩序的中心位置,全球贸易冲突风险持续攀升,国际经贸规则体系割裂趋势明显加剧,进一步扩大世界经济发展不平衡。作为特朗普自贸协定战略的重点针对目标,中国的未来发展也会遭遇一定阻力。在面临更大的制度改革压力的同时,中国贸易、投资、高科技发展的空间所受影响可能进一步凸显。

Since Trump took office,he has continued to build a network of bilateral and small regional free trade zones centered on the United States,striving to make it a wide-ranging,two-tier free trade zone network over the World Trade Organization(WTO),and build a more“reciprocal”new global trade order that takes“America first” as an absolute principle.The system design is completely different from the current WTO,in which the developing members could enjoy a lighter level of obligations,aiming to rebalance the distribution of benefits in the international economic system.As the key target of Trump's Free Trade Agreement strategy,China's future development will also be hindered to some extent.