第一大姓当选是否会促进创业?

Village Leaders from the First Largest Clans and Entrepreneurship

基于最新的中国村庄调查数据,本文考察了第一大姓当选村长对村民创业行为的影响及其作用途径。结果发现,如果选举产生的村长来自第一大姓,家庭以创业为经营主业的概率会显著上升。运用断点回归的方法进行稳健性检验,结果依然成立。作用途径发现,第一大姓村长会增加村集体的公共事业支出,更好地维护村庄的社会治安,从而改善村民的创业环境。我们还发现,在第一大姓氏宗族越强大的村庄,第一大姓当选对创业的促进作用越明显。

Using the latest Chinese village survey data,we investigate the effect of the elected first largest clan on local Entrepreneurship.We find that the village leader from the first largest clan increases the probability of entrepreneurship in rural China.The estimation results remain robust to a RDD strategy.We also find that the effect is derived from the first largest family clans,in which the leader can capture the informal power,one of the most important rules and norms that convince villagers supporting them to increase public goods expenditure,and reduce the civil conflicts.