四棵“摇钱树”对陇南农业经济增长贡献的实证研究

Empirical Study on the Contribution of Four"Money Trees"to Longnan Agricultural Economic Growth

为研究油橄榄、核桃、花椒、苹果等特色农业产业对农业经济增长的实际贡献,选取陇南市2010年至2019年第一产业年产值和油橄榄、核桃、花椒、苹果的年度产值统计数据,利用计量软件Eviews 8.0建立多元回归模型,实证分析了四棵“摇钱树”对农业经济增长的影响机理.研究表明,四棵“摇钱树”对陇南经济增长贡献最大的是苹果和油橄榄,其次是核桃和花椒.

Based on statistical data of the total output value of primary industry GDP and the annual output value of olive,walnut,zanthoxylum and apple during the year 2010 to 2019,a multiple regression model was established by Eviews 8.0 to analyze the influence mechanism of four"money trees"to agricultural economic growth.The results show that apple and olive are the biggest contributors to Longnan's economic growth,followed by walnut and Zanthoxylum.