“一带一路”背景下中国钢铁产品多边贸易影响因素分析

Analysis of Influencing Factors of China's Multilateral Trade of Steel Products under the Background of“One Belt One Road”

目前全球进入经济低速增长和保护主义抬头时期,各国在寻求新的刺激经济发展的方式。我国作为最大的钢铁产品生产大国,钢铁产品出口对于拉动经济发展水平有着巨大的影响。因此本文通过中国与“一带一路”沿线国家的钢铁产品贸易2002—2017年相关数据采用广义最小二乘法结合贸易引力模型和Prais-Winston模型进行实证分析。最后,对中国与“一带一路”沿线国家钢铁产品的贸易往来提出建议。本文建议我国钢铁产品贸易亟须绿色金融配套服务,同时合理甄别目标国显得至关重要。

At present,the world has entered a period of low economic growth and rising protectionism.Countries are seeking new ways to stimulate economic development.As my country is the largest producer of steel products,the export of steel products has a huge impact on the level of economic development.Therefore,this article uses the generalized least squares method combined with the trade gravity model and the Prais-Winston model to conduct an empirical analysis based on the relevant data of the steel product trade between China and the countries along the“Belt and Road”from 2002 to 2017.Finally,it puts forward suggestions on steel products trade between China and countries along the“Belt and Road”.This article suggests that my country's steel product trade is in urgent need of green finance supporting services,and at the same time it is very important to properly identify target countries.