中国内地与中国香港服务贸易出口影响因素的实证分析

An Empirical Analysis on the Influencing Factors of Service Trade Exports between China's Mainland and Hong Kong

随着服务性理念的增强,服务贸易在全球贸易占比不断扩张,成为影响对外进出口的重要因素。中国内地与中国香港地理位置相近,经贸往来密切,但两地服务贸易的对外情况差异较大。中国内地服务贸易近年才开始被真正重视,但中国香港的服务贸易作为该地区整体贸易优势部分具有长时间的发展经验,十分值得内地学习借鉴。本文通过计算分析内地与香港的服务贸易竞争力,并且建立双边服务贸易出口的面板模型,对影响两地服务贸易的主要因素进行实证检验。最后,分别对中国内地和中国香港服务贸易的发展提出一些建议。

With the enhancement of service concept,the proportion of service trade in global trade continues to expand,which has be-come an important factor affecting foreign imports and exports.China's Mainland and Hong Kong,China are geographically similar and have close economic and trade exchanges,but the external situation of service trade in the two places is quite different.Service trade in China's mainland has only begun to receive real attention in recent years,but Hong Kong's service trade in China,as a part of the overall trade advantage of the region,has long-term development experience,which is worth learning from the mainland.This paper analyzes the competitiveness of service trade between the mainland and Hong Kong through calculations,and establishes a panel model of bilateral service trade exports to conduct empirical tests on the main factors affecting service trade between the two places.Finally,some suggestions are put forward on the development of service trade in China's Mainland and Hong Kong,China.