基于复合系统协同度模型的京津冀民航协同发展研究

Coordinated Development of Civil Aviation in Beijing,Tianjin and Hebei Based on the Synergy Model of Composite System

京津冀民航协同发展是指北京、天津以及河北省各个民航子系统相互配合、相互协调,形成共同管理、差异化经营的格局。选取首都国际机场、天津滨海国际机场以及石家庄正定国际机场作为研究对象,利用协同效应以及利益相关者理论构建评价指标体系,利用复合系统协同模型定量测度京津冀民航系统协同发展状况。研究结果表明:一方面,尽管整个系统协同度处于“振荡式”上升趋势,但是整体的协同度仍处于低度协同阶段;另一方面,尽管京津冀民航各个子系统有序度均不断提高,但是各个子系统呈现出极大的差异性,其中航空公司以及机场子系统有序度一直较高,空管子系统一直保持低速增长趋势。

The coordinated development of civil aviation in Beijing,Tianjin and Hebei refers to the coordination and mutual coordination of various civil aviation subsystems in Beijing,Tianjin and Hebei Province,forming a pattern of joint management and differentiated operations.Taking Capital International Airport,Tianjin Binhai International Airport and Shijiazhuang Zhengding International Airport as research objects,the evaluation index system was constructed by using synergy effect and stakeholder theory.Finally,the composite system collaborative model was used to quantitatively measure the coordinated development of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei civil aviation system.The results show that,on the one hand,although the overall system synergy is in an“oscillating”upward trend,the overall synergy is still in a low degree of synergy;on the other hand,although the order of each subsystem of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei civil aviation is constantly increased,each subsystem presents great differences.Among them,the order degree of airlines and airport subsystems has been high,and the air traffic control system has been maintaining a low-speed growth trend.