县域经济增长方式的时空差异及影响因素——以福建省为例

Temporal and Spatial Differences and Influencing Factors of County Economic Growth Pattern:Take Fujian Province as an Example

文章利用全要素生产率的贡献率分析了福建省县域经济增长方式的时空格局演变,并通过空间面板数据模型分析了影响经济增长方式的因素。研究发现:(1)福建省经济增长方式总体呈现从粗放型转向集约型进而又转为粗放型的特点;(2)福建县域集约型增长方式地区呈现从闽西、闽南向闽中、闽北逐渐演变的趋势;(3)工业发展和基础设施建设会显著促进当地经济增长方式的转变,而服务业发展和政府规模则不同程度阻碍其转变进程;(4)空间杜宾模型显示周边地区城镇化显著阻碍当地经济增长方式转变,而周边地区政府规模和基础设施建设则显著促进当地经济增长方式转变。

The paper calculated the mode of county economic growth in Fujian province through the contribution rate of total factor productivity,and analysed the evolution of its spatial and temporal pattern and the factors affecting the mode of economic growth through the spatial panel data model.It was found that firstly the mode of economic growth in Fujian province has generally changed from extensive to intensive and then to rough.Secondly,Fujian county intensive growth mode area presents the trend of gradual evolution from western Fujian,southern Fujian to central Fujian and northern Fujian.Thirdly,industrial development and infrastructure construction will significantly promote the transformation of the regional economic growth mode,while service industry development and government scale will hinder its transformation process in varying degrees.The spatial Durbin model shows that urbanization in the surrounding areas has significantly hindered the transformation of economic growth mode in the region,while the scale of government and infrastructure construction have significantly promoted it.