摘要
随着我国经济发展持续加速,绿色发展渐渐引起重视。因此,以电动汽车为代表的新能源汽车市场迅速增长。由于电池技术的局限,导致电动汽车单次满电可支持的里程数要低于燃油车单次满油可支持的里程数。所以,让电动充电桩的数量在满足电动汽车及时补给的情况下,充电桩的合理布局也就显得十分重要。文章通过应用Bass模型,预测出上海新片区——临港地区未来的电动汽车保有量,同时采用重力模型对电动汽车的出行区域进行预测。此外,运用0-1规划模型得出规划预测。最后对模型进行评价,给出合理建议。
With the continuous acceleration of China's economic development,green development has attracted more and more attention.Therefore,the new energy vehicle market represented by electric vehicles is growing rapidly.Due to the limitation of battery technology,the mileage that can be supported by electric vehicles at a single full charge is lower than that supported by fuel vehicles with a single full charge.Therefore,under the condition that the number of electric charging piles can meet the timely supply of electric vehicles,the reasonable layout of electric charging piles is also very important.In this paper,the future ownership of electric vehicles in the new area of Shanghai-Lingang area is predicted by using Bass model,and the travel area of electric vehicles is predicted by gravity model.In addition,the 0-1 planning model is used to get the planning forecast.Finally,the model is evaluated and reasonable suggestions are given.
出处
《科技创新与应用》
2020年第33期47-49,共3页
Technology Innovation and Application
基金
2019年度上海市大学生创新创业训练计划项目(编号:201911458091)。