基于空间杜宾模型的旅游业发展与经济增长关系研究--以沿海省份面板数据为例

A Study on the Relationship between Tourism Development and Economic Growth Based on Spatial Durbin Model:Taking Coastal Provinces Panel Data as an Example

在考虑空间效应影响的前提下,分析了我国沿海省域旅游业发展与经济增长之间的关系。文章采用2008-2017年10年间中国沿海省份数据,通过莫兰指数探究了各省份间经济发展的空间相关性;并利用空间杜宾模型解释在地理区域上旅游业发展与经济增长之间的关系。结果表明,中国沿海省域经济发展在空间上存在正向溢出效应,旅游业发展对各省域的经济增长起到积极推动作用。

The paper analyzes the relationship between the development of coastal tourism and economic growth in China on the premise of considering the effects of spatial effects.This paper uses the Moran index with the data of 11 coastal provinces in China during the 10 years from 2008 to 2017 to assess the spatial correlation of economic development among provinces;Then,the spatial Durbin model was used to explain the relationship between tourism development and economic development in the geographical area.The results show that there is a positive spillover effect in the economic development of China’s coastal provinces,and the development of tourism plays a positive role in promoting the economic growth of each province.