新冠大流行与世界秩序

Covid-19 Pandemic and the World Order

本文主要探讨由新冠大流行所引发的此次全球性危机的起源、性质及潜在的后果。在过去60年里,全球危机是世界经济和政治体系中两大精英派别(全球金融资本代表和地区主义工业家代表)之间各种矛盾不断累积的结果,而当前这场疫情又使既有危机加深和激化。首先,新冠危机的发展态势,充分显露了当代资本主义制度借助制造道德恐慌①和操纵媒体这两种手段来实现自身合法性的本质特征。每次持续性的资本主义危机,都是在不同利益群体中以权力资源的重新分配而告终。其次,全球两大精英派别对世界秩序的变化持有截然不同的立场,在政治和经济上的具体目标和意图也各不相同。正是在这样相互对立的背景下,爆发了此次危机。这场危机不会根本性地改变世界,但会激化两大精英集团之间的紧张关系,并暴露在众多普通人眼前,从而加深业已存在的、系统性的不稳定。

This paper examines origins,characters and potential outcomes of the global crisis caused by the Covid-19 pandemic.It is argued that this pandemic has accelerated and intensified the existing global crisis in the past six decades,which is the result of contradictions between two elite groups,namely representatives of global financial capitals and those of regional entrepreneurs,within the world economic and political systems.First,the dynamic of the Covid-19 crisis reflects the nature of the contemporary capitalist system,which is generally legitimated via instruments of moral panic and media manipulation.Each consecutive crisis of capitalism ends with the redistribution of power resources among different interest groups.Second,the two elite groups hold totally divergent positions towards changes of the world order,with different politico-economic goals and intentions.It is just against this backdrop that this crisis occurred.This crisis will not change the world drastically,yet it will amplify ongoing tensions between these two elite groups,exposed to ordinary people and intensifying the existing systemic instability as well.