政府主导区域一体化的经济增长差异分析——基于工业水平视角的PSM-DID实证研究

An Analysis of Economic Growth Differences in Government-led Regional Integration--Empirical Research on PSM-DID Based on Industrial Level Perspective

本文将政府主导区域一体化对城市群经济增长的影响差异及效应作为研究内容,采用2000-2016年的中国277个城市面板数据,运用双重差分倾向得分匹配法(PSM-DID)进行实证检验,实证结果表明:(1)政府主导区域一体化能够促进一体化城市群的经济增长,对工业水平中等的城市群的经济增长效果最大,工业水平较高的城市群效果次之,工业水平较低的城市群效果最低。(2)政府主导区域一体化的政府直接干预和市场引导两个效应对一体化城市群的经济增长均有显著的促进作用,且政府直接干预比市场引导对一体化城市群的经济增长效果更佳。

This paper takes the differences and effects of government-led regional integration on the economic growth of urban agglomerations as the research content,using panel data of 277 cities in China from 2000 to 2016,and using double differential tendency score matching method(PSM-DID)for empirical testing.The empirical results show that:(1)Government-led regional integration can promote the economic growth of integrated urban agglomerations,with the greatest effect on economic growth of urban agglomerations with medium industrial levels,followed by urban agglomerations with higher industrial levels,and lower industrial levels Of urban agglomerations have the lowest effect.(2)The two effects of direct government intervention and market guidance of government-led regional integration have significant effects on the economic growth of integrated urban agglomerations,and direct government intervention is more effective than market guidance on economic growth of integrated urban agglomeration good.