蔡英文当局“新南向政策”:形成、实施与困境

Tsai Ing-wen Administration’s“New Southbound Policy”:Formation,Implementation and Dilemma

蔡英文2016年上台后提出的“新南向政策”是“南向政策”的延续。“南向政策”试图通过“向南”开拓新市场,降低台湾对大陆经济的依赖程度,以实现经济“脱中”、意识形态“抗中”和亲美“卖台”。总体上,蔡英文当局“新南向政策”并未实现其经济、文化教育和政治意图。“新南向政策”存在结构性缺陷、不具备成功推进的统筹机构,且与“一带一路”倡议相冲突等问题。同时,岛内民意和国际形势又使“新南向政策”的未来面临诸多挑战,其可持续性令人怀疑。

“The New Southward Policy”proposed by Tsai Ing-wen after her taking office in 2016 is the continuation of“The Southward Policy”.“The Southward Policy”tries to open up new markets“to the South”and reduce Taiwan's dependence on the Mainland's economy,so as to realize the economic“separation from China”,ideological“Anti China”and pro US by“selling Taiwan”.Generally speaking,Tsai Ing-wen’s New Southward Policy"has not reached its economic,cultural,educational and political intentions.There are structural defects in“The New Southward Policy”,no co-ordination organizations for its implementation,as well as the conflict with the Belt and Road Initiative.At the same time,the public opinions on the Island and in the international situation make the future of“The New Southward Policy”face many challenges,and its sustainability is questionable.