城镇化水平对农村居民消费的影响研究

RESEARCH ON THE INFLUENCE OF URBANIZATION LEVEL ON CONSUMPTION OF RURAL RESIDENTS

收集我国30个省(自治区、直辖市)的相关数据,根据城镇化发展理论和居民消费理论,采用面板数据回归模型,分析了城镇化水平对农村居民消费的影响。研究结果显示:随着城镇化的发展,人口城镇化率水平每上升一个百分点,农村居民人均消费可以增长0.272%;第二、第三产业占GDP的比重每上升1个百分点,农村居民人均消费可以增长0.755%;城市建成区的面积比重每增加1个百分点,农村居民人均消费可以增长0.053%。根据实证结论,提出了相应的政策建议。

The data are collected from 30 China's provinces,province-level municipalities,and autonomous regions.Based on the theories of urbanization development and resident consumption,the panel data regression model is adopted to analyze the influence of urbanization level on the consumption of rural residents.The regression results demonstrate that as the population urbanization rate rises by one per cent,the average per capita consumption of rural residents increases by 0.272%.As the proportion of secondary and tertiary industries in GDP rises by one per cent,the average per capita consumption of rural residents increases by 0.755%.As the proportion of urban built-up areas rises by one per cent,the average per capita consumption of rural residents increases by 0.053%.Based on these empirical results,policy suggestions are put forward accordingly.