仲裁闹剧后日本南海政策的调整及变化趋势

Japan's Policy Adjustment and Trend towards the SouthChina Sea Policy after"the South China Sea Arbitration"

菲律宾阿基诺政权在美国授意和推动下挑起的"仲裁"闹剧黯然收场,加之菲律宾政权更迭,中菲紧张关系趋于缓和。但以美国为首的域内外势力制造南海紧张气氛的动作一直持续。日本海洋暨南海政策的调整与中菲关系及中美关系的状态存在某种程度的关联。日本南海政策制定和调整有其希望最大限度争取国家利益的内在诉求,也有美国为首的西方势力以及菲律宾等南海纠纷当事国的拉拢、挑拨、利用带来的"诱惑"。中国在地区及全球影响力扩大,"一带一路"倡议的顺利推进,成为日本需要面对的重要课题。日本利用"南海问题"牵制东海争端意图明显。随着特朗普政权对中国的政策由"接触"转向"对抗",应关注和警惕日本在南海问题上与美国及南海周边"声索国"内外勾连,为中国维护海洋权益制造麻烦。

" The South China Sea arbitration" instigated by the Aquino regime of the Philippines with the support from U.S.ended in failure.With the change of the Philippine regime,the tension between China and the Philippines tends to relax.However,some countries led by U.S.inside and outside the region continue to provoke some tension in the South China Sea.Japan’s adjustment of policy towards the South China Sea is linked with changes of China-Philippine relations and China-U.S.relations,which has the inherent pursuit of its national interests and are also bent to temptation from some western countries,Philippines and other countries involving in the South China Sea dispute.The growing China’s influence and the progress of the Belt and Road Initiative have become an important issue for Japan to deal with.Japan’s intention of making use of " the South China Sea issue" in order to gain advantage in the East China Sea disputes is quite obvious.As the Trump regime’s policy towards China having shifted from contact to confrontation,more attention should be paid to the action of Japan in colluding with the U.S.and some other countries and making trouble for China’ s safeguarding its interests.