基于技术预见模式的汽车前瞻技术路线规划方法研究

Research Method of Automotive Technology Roadmap Based on Future Technology Forecast

汽车技术路线规划的研究模式、方法和手段在不断发展,从最初只关注技术本身向着更加充分考虑技术与经济、社会、环境、生态等多向互动的方向发展。文章围绕着汽车企业“零事故、零排放、零拥堵”的未来交通愿景,研究未来汽车前瞻技术路线规划方法,把握科技大变革的机遇,加强对汽车技术领域发展趋势的监测和预见能力,使企业战略部署保持全面协调可持续发展的竞争力,并逐步完成由依赖国外技术转向以自主开发为主的转变。

The research mode,method and means of automotive technology foresight are developing constantly,from the initial focus on technology itself to more fully consider the multi-directional interaction between technology and economy,society,environment,ecology,etc.In this paper,the research method of future automotive technology foresight based on knowledge map is studied,the opportunity of technological revolution is seized,and the monitoring and foresight research on the development trend of automotive technology field are strengthened.It is the key to maintain the competitiveness of comprehensive,coordinated and sustainable development of existing enterprise strategic deployment,and gradually completes the transformation from relying on foreign technology to relying on independent development.