大国中亚地区外交新态势

New Diplomatic Trends in Central Asia

近年来,传统地缘竞争思维出现回归趋势,大国在全球和地区层面的地缘政治竞争明显加剧,大国在中亚地区的竞争和对抗是其典型表现之一。近年来,世界主要大国纷纷调整中亚政策,加大介入中亚事务的力度,导致中亚地区外交形势生变。大国相互之间在中亚地区的互动呈现更浓的零和博弈色彩,大国介入中亚事务刺激中亚国家寻求团结,大国在机制上热衷于建立“小多边”合作机制,纷纷致力于与中亚国家推进于己有利的互联互通。这一切对中国来说既有挑战,也有机遇。一方面,大国加大对中亚地区的关注和投入,要求中国谨慎行事,避免激化地区矛盾。另一方面,中国可充分发挥自身的经济优势,借助与中亚交往的已有基础和“中国+中亚五国”外长会晤机制,推动中国与中亚国家的互信与合作迈上新的台阶。

In recent years,there has been a trend of ‘return’of the traditional thinking of geopolitical competition,and the geopolitical competition among major powers at global and regional levels has been intensified as well.The competition among great powers in Central Asia is a typical manifestation of great powers’ geopolitical game at the regional level. Several major powers have adjusted their Central Asian policies and deepened their engagement in Central Asian affairs,which created the primary drivers of the new diplomatic dynamics in Central Asia. In addition,new characteristics of current diplomacy in Central Asia are emerging. The new trends pose challenges and opportunities for China. In terms of challenges,major powers have paid increased attentions and efforts in Central Asia,urging China to act prudently to avoid regional tensions or chaos. In terms of opportunities,China can fully take advantage of its economic strength,its partnership with Central Asian countries established over the past three decades,and its cooperation mechanisms to promote the mutual trust and cooperation among China and Central Asian countries.