中国碳交易下的工业绿色发展效率及影响因素

Industrial Green Development Efficiency and Influencing Factors Under Carbon Trading in China

文章基于中国内地30个省市工业面板数据,采用SBM方向性距离函数和Malmquist-Luenberger(ML)指数测算工业绿色发展效率的大小,并从考察碳交易的经济增长效应和绿色效应出发,构建DID模型和PSM-DID方法验证碳交易政策实施的作用效果,结果表明:碳交易政策的实施可以显著提升试点地区工业绿色发展效率水平;经济发展水平、对外开放水平和工业环境规制强度是提高试点地区工业绿色发展效率的主要直接驱动力,城镇化和技术创新对工业绿色发展效率的促进作用有限;处于不同经济发展阶段,工业化发展水平的高低会影响碳交易政策实施对工业绿色发展的作用效果,后工业化和工业化后期(后半)阶段的直接促进作用更加明显。据此提出了旨在提升工业绿色发展效率的相关政策建议。

Based on the industrial panel data of 30 provinces and cities in China's Mainland,this paper uses SBM directional distance function and Malmquist Luenberger(ML)index to measure the industrial green development efficiency,and constructs DID model and PSM-DID method to verify the effect of carbon trading policy implementation.The results show that the implementation of carbon trading policy can significantly improve the industrial green development efficiency of pilot areas;the level of economic development,the level of opening up and the intensity of industrial environmental regulation are the main direct driving forces to improve the efficiency of industrial green development in pilot areas;urbanization and technological innovation play a limited role in promoting industrial green development efficiency;in different stages of economic development,the level of industrialization development will affect the effect of carbon trading policy implementation on industrial green development,and the direct promotion effect of post industrialization and late industrialization(the second half)stage is more obvious.Finally,the paper puts forward relevant policy suggestions to improve the efficiency of industrial green development.