五大发展理念视域下中国城镇化发展质量与潜力问题研究

Research on the Quality and Potential of Urbanization Development From the Perspective of the Five Development Concepts

以五大发展理念为引领,构建包含创新、协调、绿色、开放、共享5个维度的城镇化发展质量测度指标体系,选取可获取最新10年面板数据,采用改进的熵值法,测度我国城镇化发展质量,深层次剖析我国城镇化发展质量与潜力。结果显示:2009—2018年,中国城镇化发展质量稳步上升,呈现出由东、中、东北到西部地区逐级递减的阶梯式不均衡分布;城镇化发展潜力差异明显,但总体有向均衡化动态发展的趋势;中国各省域城镇化发展质量与潜力可归纳为7大类,具体表现为,东部大多省域城镇化发展质量趋于稳定,东北城镇化发展质量提升潜力最低,除一些省域仍未突破客观条件限制外,中、西部地区部分省域城镇化发展潜力较大。据此,应高度关注城镇化质量提升低潜力区域,如东北及中、西部部分落后省域的城镇化发展质量。

Ideas are the leader of action.Guided by the five development concepts,we use relevant indicators of innovation,harmonization,green,openness and sharing to build a quality measurement model of urbanization development quality by using panel data of 30 provinces for ten years.The following conclusions are reached:Firstly,the overall quality of New Urbanization in China was steadily rising from 2009 to 2018,and the quality of urbanization development quality in the four areas is unevenly distributed in a stepped way.Secondly,the quality of urbanization development in the four regions of east,middle,northeast and west of China decreases in turn.Thirdly,the development potential in the four regions is obviously different,but there is a trend of dynamic development towards equilibrium.Fourthly,the quality potential type of the urbanization development of China can be classified into seven categories.Specifically,eastern region tends to be stable,and the quality improvement potential of the northeast region is the lowest.Many provinces in the middle and western regions have great potential.In view of the above,it is better to pay more attention to the northeast region and some backward provinces of middle and western regions with lagging development quality and low promotion potential.