煤矿开采矿井涌水量预测方法现状及发展趋势

Present Situation and Development Trend of Coal Mine Discharge Forecast Method

煤矿开采矿井涌水量对于煤矿防治水及安全高效生产具有重要意义,矿井涌水量预测方法须通过系统分析和深入研究。首先详细阐述了矿井涌水量预测方法,并对其预测过程进行了较为详细的论述与分析。指出矿井涌水量预测方法存在的问题,针对存在的问题,提出了未来应建立多因素综合模型,将传统的单一模型进行扩大,提高适用范围和预测精度;建立基于大数据的预测,将矿井涌水量与大数据有机结合,通过大数据分析涌水量的特征预测矿井涌水量;进行系统理论综合分析,将矿区涌水量作为一个系统,从时空序列中提取地下水变化特征,为涌水量的预测提供支撑。

Coal mine water inflow is vital to the coal mine water control and safe and efficient production.The forecast of mine water inflow must be established through systematic analysis and deep study.Therefore,the mine water inflow prediction methods were elaborated,the prediction procedures were discussed in detail,and the problems of mine water inflow forecasting methods were revealed.In response to the problems,it was proposed that a multi-factor comprehensive model should be established in the future,and the traditional single model should be expanded to improve the scope of application and prediction accuracy,and to establish big-data-based prediction methods.The water volume shall be comprehensively and specifically combined with big data,by which the mine water inflow can be predicted,and the system theory be analyzed.In addition,water inflow in the mining area should be viewed as a system,and the groundwater change characteristics be extracted from the time and space sequences,from which the prediction method of the water inflow can be provided and specified.