面向装备规划计划的体系贡献率评估方法

A system-of-systems contribution ratio evaluation method for equipment program planning

当前的体系贡献率研究主要集中在装备立项论证阶段,亟需加强规划计划阶段自顶向下的体系贡献率研究。从体系贡献率主导的装备全寿命周期管理思想出发,提出了包括"作战概念牵引、能力需求主导、价值定位核算、使命手段匹配、能力贡献评估"的五步评估方法,根据装备项目对体系能力差距的满足程度评估项目体系贡献率,并构建体系贡献率配比模型。将体系贡献率评估前推到规划计划阶段,能够加强装备全寿命周期管理的顶层设计和整体指导,克服当前分散式、碎片式体系贡献率研究的不足。

System-of-systems(SoS) contribution ratio evaluation is an important measure to promote the development and application of equipment system-of-systematization. At present, the research of SoS contribution ratio(SoSCR) mainly focuses on the stage of equipment project demonstration. There are some problems such as difficulty to find the combat SoS comprising the equipment system from bottom up, atypical and inaccurate SoSs, so it is urgent to strengthen the research of SoSCR from top down in the stage of program planning. Based on the thought of equipment life cycle management dominated by SoSCR, this paper puts forward a five-step evaluation method, including combat concept traction, capability demand leading, value orientation accounting, mission means matching, and capability contribution evaluation. The SoSCR of the project is evaluated according to the satisfaction degree of the equipment planning project to the SoS capability gap, and an SoSCR allocation model is constructed. In this paper, the evaluation of SoSCR is pushed forward to the program planning stage, which can strengthen the top-level design and overall guidance of equipment life cycle management, and overcome shortcomings of current research on decentralized and fragmented SOSCR.