我国可尝试直接向电气化时代转型

China Can Try To Directly Transition To The Electrification Era

以可再生能源为主的低碳能源系统,是我国能源转型的必然方向。结合我国实际情况,可尝试跳过油气时代,直接从以燃煤为主的能源结构转向以可再生能源发电为主的电气化时代,这更适合我国目前的社会和经济发展状况。《巴黎协定》提出,未来因气候变化导致的大气升温将不得超过2摄氏度。根据测算,要实现这一目标,到2050年,我国二氧化碳排放总量不能超过35亿吨,而要进一步实现温升不超过1.5度的目标,2050年要实现碳中和。

A low-carbonenergy system basedon renewable encrgyis the inevitabledirection of china'senergy transition,but this does notmean that China hasto copy the“coal-oil-gas-renewable”t ransition route adopted by Western countries 70 years ago.Combining china'sactual conditions,skipping the oil and gas era,and directly shiftingfrom a coal-burning energy structure to an electrification era basedon renewable energy generation is more suitable for china's currentsocial and economic development.