2014—2019赛季CBA技术统计与成绩排名相关性及变化趋势分析

Correlation and Change Trend Analysis of CBA Technical Statistics and Performance Ranking in 2014-2019 Season

篮球比赛的技术统计目前是我们对篮球比赛数据进行有效分析、科学研究的重要工具。本研究通过对2014—2015赛季、2015—2016赛季、2016—2017赛季、2017—2018赛季、2018—2019赛季CBA联赛20支球队常规赛全部1980场比赛的全队技术统计进行整理,对场均得分、场均两分出手、两分命中、两分命中率、三分出手、三分命中、三分命中率、罚球出手、罚球命中、罚球命中率、篮板、助攻、抢断等指标进行统计后进行相关性及变化规律的分析,得出以下结论:CBA近5个赛季中,场均得分、场均助攻与场均篮板与球队常规赛比赛排名相关性较为显著,且相关性变化趋势稳定;场均两分命中率和三分命中率与球队常规赛比赛排名大部分赛季相关性显著,相关性变化波动较大;其他技术统计指标与球队常规赛比赛排名基本上没有产生显著性相关。

At present,the technical statistics of basketball match is an important tool for us to analyze and study basketball match data effectively.This study sorted out the technical statistics of 1980 regular season games of the 20 CBA teams in 2014—2015,2015—2016,2016—2017,2017—2018 and 2018—2019 seasons,and analyzing the correlation and variation law after the statistics of the indicators such as 2-points FGM,2-points FGA,2-points FG%,3-points FGM,3-points FGA,3-points FG%,FT FGM,FT FGA,FT FG%,REB,TOV,PST.Draw the following conclusions:In the recent five seasons of CBA,the correlation between average points,average assists and average rebounds per game and the league table in regular season is significant,and the trend of correlation is stable.The average 2-point percentage and 3-point percentage are significantly correlated with most seasons in the regular season.Other technical metrics had little significant correlation with a team’s regular-season ranking.