西北地区城市韧性影响因素研究

A Study of Influencing Factors of Urban Resilience of Northwest China

随着城市化进程的不断推进,城市面临的不确定性和风险也日趋复杂,2020年暴发的新型冠状病毒肺炎疫情更是对城市韧性提出了更高要求。因此,厘清城市韧性的影响因素显得尤为重要。本文从城市韧性的内涵出发,构建了包含经济、社会、生态、工程等方面的城市韧性测度指标体系,选取西北地区30个城市2008年—2017年的面板数据,通过熵值法和综合指数法测算西北地区城市总体韧性和分领域韧性,并运用空间计量法研究西北地区城市韧性的影响因素。研究结果表明:西北地区城市韧性存在显著为正的空间溢出效应,某个城市韧性水平的提高会促进周边城市韧性增强;市场力对城市韧性有正向影响,行政力和创新力对城市韧性的正向影响均尚未显示。

With the continuous progress of urbanization,the uncertainties and risks faced by cities become more and more complex.The COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 has set a higher demand for urban resilience,so it is of particular importance to clarify the factors affecting the process of urban resilience.Based on the concept of urban resilience,this paper constructed an index system to measure urban resilience from economic,social,ecological and engineering aspects,and selected panel statistics of 30 cities in northwest China from 2008 to 2017.Entropy value method and comprehensive index method are used to measure the overall and sub-area resilience of the city.Meanwhile,spatial measurement method is used to study the influencing factors of urban resilience in northwest China.The results show that there is a significant positive spatial spillover effect in the urban resilience of northwest China,and the improvement of the resilience of a certain city will promote the enhancement of the resilience of surrounding cities.Market power has a positive effect on urban resilience,however,neither administrative power nor creativity has been shown to have a positive effect on urban resilience.