新冠肺炎疫情对全球经济的影响及中国对策

The Impact of COVID-19 on Global Economy and Chinese Countermeasures

新冠肺炎疫情影响经济的逻辑是通过直接不确定性对供给与需求同时产生双重破坏,并进一步通过间接不确定性对整个要素、贸易、资本市场等经济层面产生巨大冲击。从微观层面来看,这场流行病的后果是巨大的,全球金融市场不稳定性加剧、全球经济链条断裂、国际贸易陷入低迷、全球服务产业遭受重挫;在宏观层面,新冠肺炎疫情加快“慢全球化”时代的到来、产业链重构与全球经济极化效应、催生数字经济爆发增长。我国应该在防范疫情二次冲击的前提下,积极应对后疫情时代全球经济的变化发展。

The logic of COVID-19’s affecting the economy is that it destroys both supply and demand through direct uncertainty,and further impacts on the economic level of the whole factor,trade and capital market through indirect uncertainty.On the micro level,the consequences of this pandemic are enormous.The global financial market is more unstable,the global economic chain is broken,international trade is in a slump,and the global service industry is falling.On the macro level,the COVID-19 pandemic is accelerating the“slow globalization”,the industry chain reconstruction and the global economic polarization effect,and the boominggrowthof the digital economy.China should actively respond to the changes and development of the global economy in the post epidemic era on the premise of preventing the secondary impact of the epidemic.