基于演化博弈的用户综合用能行为决策方法研究

Research on a decision method of a user comprehensive energy use behavior based on an evolutionary game

随着综合能源市场中人们的能源消费形式日趋多样化,如何根据用户用能需求的变化特征分析用户群体的综合用能行为决策是目前亟需解决的重要问题。针对该问题,提出了一种基于演化博弈的用户综合用能行为决策方法。首先,考虑居民、大工业以及商业用户在内的三类用户,基于主客观组合赋权法构建了一种计及用户用能特性和用户舒适度因素的效用模型。在此基础上,基于演化博弈方法提出用以描述用户用能选择动态过程的博弈模型。最后,利用分布式迭代求解方法对模型进行求解。基于仿真算例的结果验证了所提方法的正确性和有效性。

With the increasing diversification of human energy use forms in the integrated energy market,how to analyze the decision of comprehensive energy use behavior for different user groups according to the changing characteristics of their energy demand is an important issue.To solve this problem,a decision method of a user’s comprehensive energy use behavior based on an evolutionary game is proposed.First,considering three types of users that include residents,large industry,and business users,a utility model which takes into account energy use characteristics of users and user comfort factors is constructed based on a subjective and objective combination weighting method.Then,a game model is proposed to describe the dynamic process of user energy selection based on the evolutionary game method.Finally,the model is solved by a distributed iterative method.The correctness and validity of the proposed method are verified by the simulation results.