乌鲁木齐县农户休耕意愿及影响因素分析

Analysis on farmers'fallow willingness and influencing factors in Urumqi county

耕地休耕是实现中国“藏粮于地,藏粮于技”战略的重要举措,也是实现耕地质量安全的必要途径。农户作为休耕的直接参与者,正确引导农户积极参与休耕,有利于休耕政策的稳步推进。通过对乌鲁木齐县313户农户进行问卷调查,运用二元Logistic回归模型分析农户的休耕意愿及影响因素。结果表明,年龄、文化水平、农户对休耕政策的支持度、农户对休耕补偿的满意度等对农户休耕意愿存在显著正向影响,而耕地面积、耕地质量、农户期望补贴值等对农户休耕意愿存在显著负向影响。最后根据对研究区休耕政策实施分析,提出相关对策建议。

Cultivated land fallow is an important measure to realize the strategy of“Storing grain in land,Storing grain in technology”,and it is also a necessary way to realize the quality and safety of cultivated land.As the direct participants of fallow,the correct guidance of farmers to actively participate in the fallow was conducive to the steady progress of the fallow policy.Based on the questionnaire survey of 313 households in Urumqi county,this study analyzed the farmers'fallow willingness and its influencing factors by using binary logistic regression model.The results showed that age,education level,farmers'support for the fallow policy,and farmers'satisfaction with the fallow compensation had significant positive effects on farmers'fallow willingness,while cultivated land area,cultivated land quality,and the expected subsidy value of farmers had significant negative effects on farmers'fallow willingness.Finally,according to the analysis of the implementation of the fallow policy,put forward relevant countermeasures and suggestions.