中国纸制品出口增长的二元边际分析

Binary Marginal Analysis on the Growth of China's Paper Products Export

利用UNcomtrade数据,整理计算了2004-2018年中国纸制品主要出口的10个国家(地区)的二元边际,结果表明中国纸制品出口主要依赖于集约边际。从发达国家和发展中国家两个层面,比较分析了中国纸制品出口增长的原因,发现发达国家总体集约边际值较低而发展中国家集约边际值较高。如何促进中国纸制品出口贸易持续增长提出了相应的对策建议。

This paper calculated the binary margins of the 10 countries(regions)that were the main export⁃ers of Chinese paper products from 2004 to 2018 by using UNcomtrade data.The results showed that the export of Chinese paper products mainly depended on the intensive margins.Besides,it also compared and analyzed the reasons for the increase of China's paper products exports from the developed countries and the developing countries,and it found that the developed countries had low aggregate marginal value and the developing countries had high aggregate marginal value.Finally,it put forward corresponding counter⁃measures to promote the sustainable growth of China's paper products export trade.