2020年7月份印度新冠病例破百万例流行病学分析

Epidemiological Study on COVID-19 In India in July 2020

截至2020年7月18日,印度新型冠状病毒肺炎病例超过100万例,印度的新冠确诊病例数、死亡人数在持续上升。印度新冠病例是世界第三多的国家,仅次于美国和巴西。印度流行病学家说,印度疫情距离高峰期还有几个月的时间。世界卫生组织紧急情况计划主任迈克·瑞安今年3月23日表示,人类对抗新冠疫情能否取得决定性胜利,未来很大程度上将取决于印度控制该病毒的能力。鉴于今年4月13日黑龙江绥芬河口岸发现253例来自俄罗斯的输入新冠病例,导致中俄边境口岸全部临时关闭的重大疫情事件,印度疫情大暴发将威胁中国的公共卫生秩序。

At present,the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases and the number of deaths in India are on the rise,which means that the peak of COVID-19 epidemic in India has not really arrived yet and the epidemic is still in a period of growth.The international community agrees that India is the largest black hole in the world so far in the development of the epidemic,and the number of infected people in the future is likely to exceed 100 million,becoming a major disaster for global public health.Mike Ryan,director of the WHO ’s Emergency Programme,said on 23 March that a decisive victory against COVID-19 would depend in large part on India ’s ability to contain the virus.Given the 253 imported COVID-19 cases from Russia at Suifenhe port in Heilongjiang province on April 13,which led to the temporary closure of all China-Russia border ports,a major outbreak in India will threaten China’ s public health order.