中国服务业全要素生产率的增长测算——基于2007-2017年的数据分析

Growth Measurement of Total Factor Productivity in China's Service Industry——Based on Data Analysis from 2007 to 2017

运用基于数据包络分析的非参数Malmquist指数法,对2007-2017年中国30个省市区的服务业TFP的增长情况进行测算,从技术进步和技术效率两个角度对服务业TFP的增长情况进行区域异质性分析。实证研究结果表明,在TFP的增长中,技术进步的提高是主要驱动因素,而技术效率改善的促进作用有限。中国东中西部和东北部之间的服务业TFP均处于上升通道,东部地区的增长率高于中西部地区,西部地区依靠技术进步的持续提高,增长率在一段时间内高于中部地区。推动技术创新活动,强化服务业市场化改革与加大服务业开放力度是实现中国服务业全要素生产率持续稳定增长的关键。

In this article,the non-parametric Malmquist index method based on data envelope analysis was used to measure the growth of TFP in service industry in 30 provinces and municipalities in China from 2007 to 2017,and regional heterogeneity was analyzed from the perspectives of technological progress and technological efficiency.The empirical results show that in the growth of TFP,the improvement of technological progress is the main driving factor,while the promotion effect of technological efficiency improvement is limited.TFP of the service industry in China is in the rising channel between the east,central and western regions and the northeast.The growth rate of the eastern region is higher than that of the central and western regions,while the growth rate of the western region is higher than that of the central region,a period of time depending on the continuous improvement of technological progress.Promoting technological innovation,strengthening market-oriented reform and opening up the service sector are the keys to achieve the sustained and stable growth of TFP in China's service sector.