元道启发式增长理论及赶超战略

Meta-heuristic Growth Theory and Catch-up Strategy

为何有的国家经济发展了,有的国家滞后了?文章在批判和整合了前人的研究成果的基础上,从哲学高度提出元道启发式增长理论范式。该理论范式从公理化思维入手,以简洁数学公式表述,涵盖结构主义、行为主义、演化主义的考量,同时把经济发展原理——物理的、制度的、激励的、思想的——由浅入深地内生于数学建模之中,由此超越新古典经济模型的边际分析。元道启发式增长理论不仅可以解释中国,也可以解释其他国家的经济表现,并为各国制定行之有效的发展战略提供科学理论。

Why have some economies developed whereas others stagnated?Guided by epistemological concerns and building upon previous research,mainstream and non-mainstream,this paper develops a new paradigm of meta-heuristic growth theory.Preceeding from axiomatic principles and expressed in simple mathematical equations,the meta-heuristic theory goes beyond the marginalist approach of the neo-classic model.It incorporates insights of structuralism,behavorism,and evolutionism,and integrates 4 sets of causes of growth-physical,institutional,motivational and ideational-synergistically into one equation.With the new analytic framework,it becomes possible to describe and understand many otherwise complex situations with remarkable simplicity.The meta-heuristic growth theory is relevant to both developed and developing countries,and hypotheses generated from the theory are validated by the growth story of China.In the spirit oftheoria cum praxi,the paper treats growth theory and growth strategy distinctly,and argues that strategy,which has to be made more sensitive to local conditions,is on the applied side of theory.