摘要
目前全球正面临着人口老龄化的危机,中国也将接受人口老龄化的挑战,人口老龄化必然会通过一系列的变量对GDP产生影响,运用1997~2018年中国31个地区的面板数据,采用系统GMM动态面板估计方法对人口老龄化与GDP的关系进行估计,通过分析得到结论:老年抚养比与人均GDP增长率呈正相关关系,老年人口增长率与人均GDP增长率呈负相关关系,财政支出比重、政府税收比重和经济开放度与人均GDP增长率呈现负相关关系,其余控制变量与人均GDP增长率则呈现正相关关系.
The world is facing the crisis of population aging now;China will also accept the challenges of population aging in the fu-ture.The population aging will inevitably affects the GDP through a series of variables.Using the panel data of 1997-2015 China's 31 re-gions and the system GMM dynamic panel estimation method estimates the relationship between the population aging and GDP.Through a-nalysis gets the conclusion:there is a positive correlation between the old dependency ratio and Per Capita GDP growth rate,and there is a negative correlation between the old growth rate and Per Capita GDP growth rate.There is a negative relationship between FEP,GTP,OPEN and Per Capita GDP growth rate;and there is a positive relationship between Per Capita GDP growth rate and other control variables.
作者
徐晓飞
Xu Xiaofei(Beijing Language and Culture University,Beijing,100083)
出处
《市场周刊》
2020年第12期177-180,共4页
Market Weekly
基金
北京语言大学院级科研项目(中央高校基本科研业务专项资金资助)(项目编号:20YJ050013)。
