中国燃料电池电动汽车市场化分析与预测

Market Analysis and Forecast of Fuel Cell Electric Vehicles in China

汽车是现代世界经济的重要支柱,在环境污染和能源短缺的双重影响下,氢能由于其绿色零污染的优点得到广泛关注。但是燃料电池、氢气存储与运输等关键技术的滞后严重影响着燃料电池电动汽车的发展及应用。本文从燃料电池电动汽车自身优势出发,结合国家政策导向、社会环境、经济环境等因素对燃料电池电动汽车进行市场分析,通过年产量、销售量对中国燃料电池电动汽车保有量建立数据预测模型,运用MATLAB软件进行灰色预测,定性和定量分析预测中国燃料电池电动汽车市场前景。

Automobile is an important pillar of modern world economy.Under the dual influences of environmental pollution and energy shortage,hydrogen energy has received extensive attention due to its advantage of zero pollution.However,the lag of key technologies such as fuel cell,hydrogen storage and transportation restrict the development and application of fuel cell vehicles.Based on the advantages of fuel cell vehicles,this paper analyzes the market of fuel cell vehicles from the perspectives of national policy,social environment,economic environment and so on.In addition,this paper establishes a data prediction model for the number of fuel cell vehicles based on the annual output and sales volume of fuel cell vehicles in China,makes Grey Prediction by using MATLAB software,and forecasts the market prospects of fuel cell electric vehicles in China by qualitative and quantitative analysis.