基于ECE模型的陕西省科技金融系统发展潜力测度

The Development Potential Measurement of Scientific and Technological Finance System in Shaanxi Province Based on ECE Model

从发展潜力的视角出发,首先提出科技金融系统发展潜力的概念,在分析了科技金融各个子系统之间运行机理的基础上,通过ECE模型构建了科技金融的综合评价指标体系,运用加权主成分TOPSIS方法对陕西省2008-2018年科技金融系统发展潜力进行测度,研究发现:1)陕西省科技金融系统发展潜力整体呈现持续上升趋势,综合发展潜力指数从2008年的0.1674上升至2018年的0.4935,达历史最高。2)在不断深化供给侧改革的背景下,科技金融系统发展潜力的测度指数是其内部科技效率,金融质量,经济生态三大子系统综合作用的结果,因此在保障总体的发展质量下,更需注重子系统间的耦合机制。最后提出提高陕西省科技金融发展潜力的相关对策及建议。

From the perspective of development potential,this paper puts forward initially the concept of development potential of scientific and technological finance system,and analyzes the operation mechanism of each subsystem to construct a comprehensive evaluation index system of scientific and technological finance by using the ECE model.The method of weighted principal component TOPSIS is applied to measure the development potential of the scientific and technological finance system in Shaanxi Province in 2008-2018.The results show that:1)the overall development potential of scientific and technological finance system in Shaanxi Province shows a continuous upward trend with the comprehensive development potential index rising from 0.1674 in 2008 to 0.4935 in 2018,the highest in history.2)In the context of deepening the supply side reform,the measurement index of the development potential of the scientific and technological finance system is determined by the integrative effect of its three subsystems,namely,the internal technological efficiency,the financial quality and the economical ecology.Therefore,apart from the guarantee of the overall development quality,it is necessary to pay more attention to the coupling mechanism between the subsystems.Finally,the paper puts forward relevant countermeasures and suggestions to improve the development potential of scientific and technological finance in Shaanxi Province.