流通技术进步与零售经济空间相关性分析——基于新零售时代视角

Spatial Correlation Analysis of Circulation Technology Progress and Retail Economy——From the Perspective of New Retail Era

文章基于2009—2018年我国30省份的面板数据,通过构建空间计量模型与门槛效应模型,实证分析了流通技术进步对零售经济的影响效应,结果表明:我国流通技术进步与零售经济存在明显的空间集聚现象,空间集聚水平存在区域差异,而各地区内部差异相对较小;流通技术进步对零售经济的影响具有显著的空间溢出,并且邻近区域的社会环境对本地零售经济表现出显著的正向溢出。此外,流通技术进步对零售经济的影响呈现出显著的门槛特征,随着社会环境的改善,流通技术进步的积极作用逐渐凸显。因此,在提升流通资源配置效率的同时,也要注重改善区域的社会经济环境。

Based on the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2009 to 2018,this paper empirically analyzes the effect of circulation technology progress on retail economy by constructing spatial econometric model and threshold effect model.The results show that there is obvious spatial agglomeration phenomenon between China’s circulation technology progress and retail economy,and there are regional differences in the level of spatial agglomeration,while the internal differences of different regions are relatively large.There is a significant spatial spillover of the impact of the progress of circulation technology on the retail economy,and the social environment of the neighboring regions also shows a significant positive spillover on the local retail economy.In addition,with the progress of technology,the technology has a positive effect on the social circulation.Therefore,while improving the efficiency of distribution resources,we should also pay attention to improving the regional social and economic environment.