摘要
以促进粤东西北地区发展的政策为自然实验,收集全国281个城市2004—2017年的面板数据,运用双重差分法(DID)对粤东西北城市的经济增长水平进行了评估。结果表明:粤东西北发展政策并未有效驱动地区经济增长,固定资产投资水平、外商投资、居民储蓄水平和教育水平低于全国平均水平是导致粤东西北地区经济增长放缓的主要原因。基于实证分析的结果,针对区域协调发展的目标,提出驱动欠发达地区经济增长的政策建议。
This paper takes the development policy of the eastern,western and northern parts of Guangdong province as a natural experiment,collected the panel data of 281 cities from 2004 to 2017,using the double difference method to estimate the economic growth of the cities in eastern,western and northern Guangdong.The results show that the development policy has not effectively boost economic growth.The main factors of economic growth slowdown are that fixed asset investment,foreign investment,savings and education of residents are lower than average level of other cities.Based on the results of empirical analysis,this paper puts forward policy recommendations with the aim of coordinate development in regions.
作者
邓文博
DENG Wenbo(School of Business Administration,Heyuan Polytechnic,Heyuan 517000,China;School of Business,Macao University of Science and Technology,Macao 999078,China)
出处
《江苏理工学院学报》
2020年第5期53-58,共6页
Journal of Jiangsu University of Technology
基金
广东省财政厅财政科研课题“粤港澳大湾区一体化驱动广东欠发达地区经济增长研究”(Z201934)
河源职业技术学院2019年校级哲学社会科学研究课题“粤东西北各市融入粤港澳大湾区促进经济加快增长对策研究”(2019-sk01)。
