新冠肺炎疫情下的世界经济

The world economy in the context of COVID-19

关键提示在全球经济出现脆弱和不平衡复苏的同时,金融危机后出现的低增长、低利率、低通胀和高债务、高资产价格和高收入差距局面被进一步强化。疫情演化中蕴含的不确定性,主要经济体的韧性、政策走势及其溢出效应,全球和区域经济治理以及大国竞合发展态势,在相当意义上决定了2021年世界经济的基本面。

The sudden outbreak of COVID-19 will have a huge impact on the world economy in 2020,with significant regional variations in the extent of the impact across the world.In the face of the epidemic,governments or economies have taken unprecedented response measures with varying degrees of effectiveness.While the global economy is experiencing a fragile and uneven recovery,the post-financial crisis conditions of low growth,low interest rates,low inflation and high debt,high asset prices and high income inequality have been further reinforced.The uncertainties inherent in the evolution of the epidemic,the resilience,policy trends and spillover effects of major economies,global and regional economic governance and the development of major powers in cooperation and competition have,in a significant sense,determined the fundamentals of the world economy in 2021.If the China-Eu Bilateral Investment Treaty is signed and the RCEP is implemented,at least in the field of trade and investment,the dawn of world economic recovery will be brighter.