论中美战略竞争态势变化的原因

On the Dynamic Changes of Sino-U.S.Strategic Competition

冷战结束以来,中美战略竞争态势处于变动之中,有些时候竞争激烈,有些时候竞争缓和。中美权力位置差距和美国的对华战略定位,在很大程度上决定了这种变动。当中美权力位置差距缩小,且美国对华采取“修正式”战略定位时,中美战略竞争最激烈;当中美位置差距较小,但美国对华采取“现状式”战略定位时,中美战略竞争较缓和;当中美权力位置差距较大,但美国仍采取“修正式”战略定位时,中美战略竞争较激烈;当中美权力位置差距较大,且美国对华采取“现状式”战略定位时,中美战略竞争最缓和。

The status of Sino-U.S. strategic competition has experienced dynamic changes since the end of Cold War. The gap of power position and America’s unilateral perception on China determines such dynamics. When the gap of power position narrows and the Washington government adopts revisionist perception on China, the competition between US and China reaches its peak. When the gap narrows, but the Washington government adopts status quo perception, the competition is relatively low. When the gap is huge, but the Washington government still takes the revisionist perception, the competition is relatively high. When the gap is huge and the Washington government takes status quo perception, the competition is the lowest.