美俄战术核武器困境生成原因

Analysis on the Formation Mechanism of“the Dilemma of Tactical Nuclear Weapons”between the United States and Russia

美国退出中导条约后,美俄陷入“边打边谈”的战术核武器困境。该困境的形成不仅基于相互之间的担忧与恐惧,也是由当前两国战术核武器发展方向逐渐突破传统认知,无法就关键概念达成一致所直接造成的。此外,困境深深扎根于两国战略稳定观的差异之中,双方在对对方战略意图和战术核武器未来发展方向的判断上存在结构性差异,这将对未来两国乃至全球战略稳定造成不利影响。

After the withdrawal of the United States from the INF Treaty, the United States and Russia have been caught in the tactical nuclear weapons dilemma of "fighting while talking". This dilemma is not only based on mutual worries and fears, but is also a direct result of the two countries’ inability to reach agreement on key concepts, as the current direction of development of tactical nuclear weapons is gradually breaking through traditional perceptions.In addition, the dilemma is deeply rooted in the differences between the two countries’ views of strategic stability, and there are structural differences between the two sides in their judgments of each other’s strategic intentions and the future direction of development of tactical nuclear weapons, which will adversely affect the future strategic stability of the two countries and even the global strategic stability.