基于蒙特卡罗法的海上落水遇险人员漂流轨迹预测

Research of Predicting the Drowning People at Sea Drifting Trajectory Based on Monte Carlo Method

论文以海上落水遇险人员为研究对象,讨论影响其漂流轨迹的因素,研究流场数据进行线性插值算法漂移轨迹的位置变化情况。并在Matlab中进行了仿真,与实际漂移实验数据对比,仿真结果表明采用蒙特卡罗法对其在相同的实验条件下,将流场数据进行线性插值后的模型具有较好的效果。

The thesis takes the person in distress at sea as the research object,discusses the factors affecting their drift trajec⁃tory,and studies the position change of the drift trajectory using linear interpolation algorithm for flow field data.And simulated in Matlab,compared with the actual drift experimental data,the simulation results show that the Monte Carlo method under the same ex⁃perimental conditions,the linear interpolation of the flow field data has a good effect.