环境管制对我国工业经济增长影响的实证研究

An Empirical Study of Environmental Regulation on China's Industrial Economic Growth

改革开放以来,我国工业经济得到快速发展,但同时工业经济发展与环境保护之间的矛盾也日益凸显。随着环境管制的深入实施,环境管制与工业经济的关系成为学者们研究的重点。本文使用了我国2004—2018年省级面板数据,构建了关于环境管制强度与工业经济增长的计量模型,通过静态固定效应模型、动态系统GMM模型以及分位数模型研究分析了环境管制对我国工业经济增长的影响,以及环境管制对东部、中部和西部地区工业经济增长影响的差异。实证结果表明:从整体看,环境管制与我国工业经济增长之间存在“U”形关系,即工业经济增长会随着环境管制强度的增强呈先下降后上升的趋势;分地区看,环境管制在东部、中部和西部地区对工业经济增长的影响都呈“U”形,且东部地区和中部地区比西部地区更早突破“U”形曲线的拐点。

Since the Reform and Opening,China's industrial economy has achieved rapid development.However,the contradiction between industrial economic development and environmental protection is becoming more and more prominent,scholars start to pay close attention to the relationship between environmental regulation and industrial economic growth.This paper takes provincial panel data in China from 2004 to 2018 to construct an econometric model of environmental control intensity and industrial economic growth,and analyzes the impact of environmental regulation on industrial economic growth through static fixed effect model,dynamic system GMM model and quantile model.It also analyzes the differences of the impact of environmental control on industrial economic growth in eastern,central and western regions.The results show that,on the whole,the relationship between environmental control and China's industrial economic growth is U-shaped,that is,industrial economic growth will first decline and then rise with the increase of environmental control intensity.Viewed from different regions,the impact of environmental control on industrial economic growth in eastern,central and western regions is all U-shaped,and the eastern and central regions break through the inflection point of U-shaped curve earlier than the western regions.