如何评价中国智库评价——基于五组评价报告的比较研究

Evaluating Chinese Think Tank Evaluation:A Comparative Study Based on Five Evaluation Reports

智库是国家治理体系和治理能力现代化的重要内容。科学、客观的智库评价对于智库的健康发展发挥着重要作用。借鉴公共管理学中对于第三方评估的评估框架,对智库评价的评价可以从独立性、相关性、效度、信度与功能性5个维度展开。通过比较我国具有代表性的5份智库评价报告发现,当前智库评价的薄弱环节在于信度与独立性,平均水平低于及格线。在5份报告中,《中国智库报告》的综合表现最好,《CTTI智库报告》排名第二,分别具有更好的智库综合评价参考价值和社会智库评价参考价值;《中华智库影响力报告》和《中国智库综合评价AMI研究报告》并列第三;《中国大学智库发展报告》虽然排名最后,但具有较高的高校智库评价参考价值。改善智库评价报告,需要鼓励多元评价机构参与,并公开测评结果,形成智库评价的良性竞争环境,帮助智库更精准地定位;智库评价的效度、信度与功能性是有待进一步提升的关键。

Think tanks are an important part of the modernization of the national governance system and governance capacity,and scientific and objective think tank evaluations play an important role in their healthy development.Drawing on the evaluation framework of third-party evaluation in public management studies,we conducted the evaluation of think tank evaluation across the five dimensions of independence,relevance,validity,reliability and functionality.Our comparison of five representative evaluation reports of Chinese think tanks found that the weak link in current think tank evaluation is reliability and independence,where the average level falls below the pass level.Out of the five reports,the Chinese Think Tanks Report has the best overall performance and has better reference value for comprehensive think tank evaluation.The Chinese Think Tank Index Report(CTTI)ranks second,with reference value for evaluation of think tanks in society,and the Chinese Think Tanks Influence Report and the China Think Tanks Comprehensive Evaluation AMI Research Report share third place.Although the Chinese University Think Tank Development Report comes in last,it has a high reference value for the evaluation of university think tanks.To improve think tank evaluation reports,we need to encourage the participation of multiple evaluation agencies and make the evaluation results public in order to form a benign competitive environment for think tank evaluation and help think tanks to position themselves more accurately.The validity,reliability and functionality of think tank evaluation are the key to further improvement.