电子商务、脱贫攻坚与乡村振兴:作用及其路径

E-commerce,Poverty Alleviation and Rural Revitalization: Role and Paths

脱贫攻坚与乡村振兴目标一致且阶段递进,而电子商务作为助推乡村发展的重要手段,可推动脱贫攻坚与乡村振兴的有效衔接。首先验证电子商务对脱贫攻坚及乡村振兴的促进效应,再构建条件马尔可夫(Markov)模型探求电子商务影响两者衔接的作用路径。研究发现:电子商务对脱贫攻坚与乡村振兴均具有显著促进效应;在脱贫攻坚与乡村振兴的不同阶段,电子商务能显著影响脱贫攻坚与乡村振兴的转移效应,且不同市场环境下电子商务的净转移效应显著不同;电子商务主要通过人力资本、社会资本与物质资本三条路径影响状态转移,且三条路径分别显著影响轻度脱贫、中度脱贫与高度脱贫家庭。

Poverty alleviation is consistent with the goal of rural revitalization,and e-commerce,as an important means to promote rural development,can promote the effective connection of poverty alleviation and rural revitalization. The promotion effect of e-commerce on poverty alleviation and rural revitalization is verified respectively,and then a conditional Markov model is constructed to explore the role of e-commerce influencing the connection between the two. It is found that e-commerce has a significant effect on poverty alleviation and rural revitalization;in different stages of poverty alleviation and rural revitalization,e-commerce can significantly affect the transfer effect of poverty alleviation and rural revitalization,and the net transfer effect of e-commerce in different market environments is significantly different;e-commerce mainly affects the state transfer through three paths of human capital,social capital,and material capital,while the three paths significantly affect families who are relieved of light,moderate,and high levels of poverty.