基于应急管理功能和传统文体功能的体育场馆价值分析

The Value of Sports Stadium in Emergency Management and Traditional Cultural and Sports Functions

体育场馆除了有赛事举办的传统文体价值,还有抗疫救灾的应急管理价值,如果初始开发修建时考虑不周,则在应急时难以发挥作用。若后期通过二次改造实现,又面临二次改造成本与随时间陈旧边际价值下降的问题。由于体育场馆未来价值变动的非线性特征,特别使用期权方法,基于应急功能与文体功能之间的低相关性,再结合二次改造成本、福利价值大小差异及边际回报率三因素,形成一个在传统场馆价值分析之外包含应急功能的新分析。研究发现应急功能因与传统文体功能相关性小,即使其有日常福利价值较小、边际回报率下降等不利因素,也能使场馆价值增加。建议我国未来开发体育场馆时,应在传统的文体功能之外充分考虑诸如抗疫救灾之类的应急功能,提高场馆价值。

In addition to the traditional stylistic value of sports events,sports stadiums also have emergency management value in the fight against epidemics.If the initial development is not considered properly,it will be difficult to play a role in emergency.If it is achieved through secondary transformation,it is faced with the problems of high transformation cost and down marginal value.Due to the non-linear characteristics of the future value changes of sports stadiums,this paper specifically uses the option method to include emergency management functions during sports stadiums development,based on its low correlation with stylistic functions,combined with the three factors of secondary development cost,welfare value difference and marginal rate of return,to form an analysis of the value of sports stadiums that include emergency management functions in addition to the value of traditional sports stadiums.This paper found that the emergency function has a small correlation with the traditional stylistic function,which can increase the value of the sports stadiums,even if it has adverse factors such as a small daily welfare value and a decline in the marginal rate of return.It is recommended that when constructing sports stadiums,emergency functions such as anti-epidemic and disaster relief should be fully considered in addition to traditional cultural and sports functions to increase the value of the sports stadiums.