能源OFDI对能源进口的影响研究:理论分析与实证检验

Effects of Energy OFDI on Energy Import:Theoretical Analysis and Empirical Test

运用OFDI的贸易效应理论,对能源OFDI对中国能源进口的影响进行了理论分析,选取2010—2018年各季度的能源OFDI与能源进口的数据,构建模型进行实证检验。结果表明:能源OFDI对能源进口的规模与结构具有显著影响,国内生产总值、市场对外开放程度等因素对能源进口量也有显著影响。在实证检验的基础上,对缓解国内能源供需矛盾提出了相关对策建议。

Based on the OFDI trade effect theory,this paper theoretically analyzes the effect of energy OFDI on the energy import of China.The data of energy OFDI and energy imports in each quarter from 2010 to 2018 are selected so as to construct a model to make an empirical test.The results show that energy OFDI has a significant impact on the scale and structure of energy imports,while factors like GDP,market opening to the outside world and so on have the similarly obvious effect on energy import quantum.On the basis of empirical test,some relevant countermeasures and suggestions are put forward in order to relieve the contradiction of domestic energy supply and demands.