江苏对外贸易与经济增长的实证研究

An Empirical Study of Jiangsu's Foreign Trade and Economic Growth

随着“一带一路”倡议的实施,对外贸易已成为影响经济增长的关键因素。江苏是全国经济发达省份,对外贸易增量迅速。本文以江苏为例,选取1992—2018年江苏相关数据,进行研究。结果表明:江苏进口和出口是经济增长的格兰杰原因,出口会促进经济增长,而进口会对经济增长产生一定的抑制作用。根据实证分析的结果,对如何促进江苏对外贸易发展与经济高质量发展提出建议。

With the implementation of the“One Belt One Road”initiative,foreign trade has become a key factor affecting economic growth.Jiangsu is an economically developed province in the country with rapid increase in foreign trade.This article takes Jiangsu as an example,and selects relevant data of Jiangsu from 1992 to 2018 for research.The results show that Jiangsu’s imports and exports are the Granger cause of economic growth,exports will promote economic growth,and imports will have a certain inhibitory effect on economic growth.Based on the results of the empirical analysis,suggestions are made on how to promote the development of Jiangsu's foreign trade and high-quality economic development.