弹性系数在区域电力规划中的应用研究

Research on Application of Elasticity Coefficient in Regional Power Planning

以“十一五”以来青海区域电力弹性系数的实际变化趋势为例,对弹性系数在区域电力规划工作中的现实应用进行研究,探索能够更好地反映用电量增长与GDP增长之间客观关系的方法;对区域电力弹性系数尝试建模,通过函数模型拟合回归曲线确定回归方程式,以期达到预测电力弹性系数变化趋势的目的。

Taking the actual change trend of the electricity elasticity coefficient in Qinghai region since the“Eleventh Five Year Plan”as an example,we will study the practical application of elasticity coefficient in regional electricity planning work,and explore how to better reflect the objective relationship between electricity consumption growth and GDP growth relationship method:try to model the regional electric elastic coefficient,and determine the regression equation by fitting the regression curve through the function model,in order to achieve the purpose of predicting the change trend of the electric elastic coefficient.