广西热带气旋预报业务和研究进展

Guangxi tropical cyclone forecast operation and research progress

热带气旋往往会造成途经地区严重损失,但也会带来可观的社会经济效益,准确的预报预测是实现趋利避害的前提。本文梳理了近十年广西热带气旋预报业务进展,并从热带气旋暴雨、大风、风暴潮、气候变化与预测、影响和灾害等方面介绍了广西气象工作者取得的成果。最后,总结了当前热带气旋业务与研究中存在的问题,提出广西未来热带气旋业务和研究发展的重点。

Tropical cyclones often cause serious losses in passing areas, but they also bring considerable social and economic benefits. Accurate forecasting is the prerequisite for achieving advantages and avoiding disadvantages. This paper summarized the progress of tropical cyclone forecasting in Guangxi in the past ten years, and introduced the achievements of Guangxi meteorologists in terms of tropical cyclone heavy rainfall, gale,storm surge, climate change and prediction, impact and disasters. The existing problems in current tropical cyclone business and research were summarized, and the key points for future tropical cyclone business and research development in Guangxi were pointed out.